Real estate operates in long cycles. A REIT CEO in their first downturn is navigating by theory. A board advisor who's been through nine major shocks is navigating by pattern recognition.
Neil's career spans the 1973 Oil Crisis (early career discipline), the late-80s bubble and 1990 crash (led 1987 IPO, navigated the unwind), the ERM crisis (Conrad Ritblat merger and consolidation), the dot-com bubble (Milner Estates exit timing), the Global Financial Crisis (positioned for Palace Capital launch in 2010), Brexit uncertainty (contrarian regional focus), COVID commercial dislocation (Hudson Quarter completion and portfolio recycling), and the recent interest-rate whiplash and office-sector unwind (Pristine Capital formation, distressed focus).
This isn't about predicting the future. It's about recognizing when institutions panic, when family offices buy, when boards freeze, and when opportunity disconnects from consensus. That only comes from living through the pattern multiple times.
